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NC State Wolfpack
Season Context: 8-5 Overall | #7 in ACC SRS
Our predictive models flag the Wolfpack as a classic baseline outlier — sustaining a top-tier conference profile by choking out game-level variance and maintaining elite ball security despite a negative net yardage differential (−20.7 net yards/game). NC State's combination of field-position efficiency and turnover suppression makes them a model anchor team: low noise, high structural reliability.
Ball Security
1.0
Turnovers Per Game
Ranked #1 in ACC (0.2 Fumbles, 0.8 INT per game)
Model Value
+8.13
Simple Rating System (SRS)
Ranked #7 in ACC via schedule strength (6.50 Defensive SRS)
Passing Efficiency
67.8%
Completion Rate
Ranked #3 in ACC (21.5 completions on 31.8 attempts/game)